According to the list of CLP nominations in today on Labourlist from my former colleague Luke Akehurst, there are only two horses in the race. Although from MP nominations it may have seemed this way for some time, these were a fairly poor indicator, IMHO. After all, how much difference is it likely to make which way a few hundred MPs vote? Interestingly some (like my other former colleague John Mann) have switched their allegiance to DM having seen the results in their own CLP. Well, it's good for Party democracy, I guess.
Anyway, as I said in my comments on LabourList: on the regional breakdown, interesting to see that David Milliband is doing particularly well in heartland Labour areas such as North, Scotland, West Mids. Ed Milliband is mostly doing well in less strong Labour areas, London being an exception, but then again London has never warmed to figures perceived to be to the right of the Party. No surprises that Andy Burnham has done well in his native North West, or that DM has too in the South East "Middle England" belt.
Overall it looks good for David Milliband, although his brother may run him close - this is a good cross-section of Party opinion. No-one else has really got a prayer, on this analysis. But hey, I thought the Lib Dems and the Tories could never make a coalition!
For the record, my vote will be with David, should there be no major revelations in the next few weeks. He's not perfect, but he's the only one you can truly imagine opening the door to No. 10.